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💀 **More than 11,600,000 tokens died in 2025! **[(Coingecko)](https://www.coingecko.com/research/publications/how-many-cryptocurrencies-failed)** ** ▫️**86.3%** of all crypto project failures from 2021-2025 occurred precisely in 2025 – an absolute anti-record. ▫️53.2% of all tokens on Coingecko no longer function – every second cryptocurrency. ▫️The most catastrophic was the 4th quarter of 2025 – **7,700,000** tokens "died" after a massive collapse in October. ▫️Before the launch of Pump․Fun in 2024, there were orders of magnitude fewer failures – the launch of such platforms spawned an avalanche of **"meme coin trash"**. ▫️In 2021, there were 428,000 projects, by the end of 2025 – already **20,200,000.** The barrier to entering the crypto market disappeared, and the quality plummeted.

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🔥 **The unofficial printing press of the Federal Reserve System (**#QE**).** Graph of US government bond purchases: ➤ January 20 - purchase of $8,306b. ➤ January 22 - purchase of $6,920b. ➤ January 26 - purchase of $8,304b. ➤ January 29 - purchase of $8,304b. ➤ February 2 - purchase of $6,921b. ➤ February 4 - purchase of $8,304b. ➤ February 10 - purchase of $8,304b.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 **The US may launch strikes on Iran in the next 24 hours** — [Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/death-toll-iran-approaches-2600-rights-group-reports-2026-01-14/) ➥ Two European officials told Reuters that a US military intervention seems likely, one of them said that it could happen within the next **24 hours**. ➥ An Israeli representative also told journalists that, apparently, Trump **has already made a decision** about intervention, although the scale and timing have not yet been specified. ➥ The US **is withdrawing some personnel** from key bases in the region as a precautionary measure in connection with the escalation of the situation. ➥ Qatar stated that the reduction in the number of personnel at Al Udeid Air Base, the largest American base in the region, "is being carried out in response to the current regional tensions". ➥ Three diplomats said that some military personnel were ordered to leave the base, although there were no direct signs of a mass transfer of soldiers by buses to a football stadium and a shopping center, as happened a few hours before Iran's missile strike last year. ➥ Iran warns of **retaliatory measures** in the event of a US strike.

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😡 **Over the past week, Donald Trump has threatened military escalation:** **▪To Iran** – due to accusations of destabilizing the Middle East, supporting armed groups, and refusing to make concessions, a military scenario was designated as permissible. **▪To Mexico** – under the pretext of combating drug cartels, which are considered a threat to US national security, the possibility of strikes on targets within the country was not ruled out. **▪To Denmark (Greenland)** – due to the island's strategic importance for controlling the Arctic and military infrastructure, the use of force to establish control was not ruled out. **▪To Colombia** – in the context of combating drug trafficking and regional instability, military intervention was presented as an acceptable tool of pressure. **▪To Cuba** – a hostile regime, against which ultimatum-like rhetoric hinted at possible military consequences. Earlier the USA successfully carried out a full-scale strike on **Venezuela**. Venezuelan President Maduro and his wife were captured and taken out of the country, this operation was carried out jointly with American law enforcement agencies.

Current Situation: 1. Stocks — Record high  2. Gold — Record high  3. Silver — Record high  4. Home Prices — Record high  5. Copper — Record high  6. Platinum — Record high  7. Money Market Funds — Record high  8. U.S. Debt — Record high  9. Deficit Spending — Record high  10. Household Debt — Record high  When everything reaches a record high simultaneously, it is not a coincidence.  Fiat currencies are losing value.

🤔 **Geopolitical risks = driver of cryptocurrency market growth** ➠ The US has already taken actions against Venezuela, and many believe that Iran could be the next target. ➠ Geopolitical conflicts often lead to an outflow of capital from affected countries – this money flows into BTC, ETH, and other cryptocurrencies. ➠ The situation around USDT also played in favor of BTC and ETH. The blocking of certain USDT wallets by the issuer Tether amid sanctions pressure clearly demonstrated the vulnerability of centralized stablecoins and increased interest in more neutral and decentralized cryptocurrencies. ➠ Historically, conflicts in the Middle East have often coincided with the growth of the cryptocurrency market: ▪Average return 30 days after the start of the conflict: BTC +14%, ETH +27%. ▪Average return 90 days after the start of the conflict: BTC +20%, ETH +39%.

Changpeng Zhao: I might be wrong, but the supercycle is already approaching. supercycle means cz about to run up some crime 😪

📱 **Twitter Announces Launch of Smart Cashtags for Solana Integration ** X is introducing Smart Cashtags, a new feature that allows users to seamlessly tag Solana-based tokens in posts using either cashtags or smart contract references. By tapping on a tagged #Solana asset, users will gain instant access to real-time pricing data, interactive charts, and relevant news without leaving their timeline. This innovation enhances social discovery by embedding on-chain assets directly into the user experience, further integrating Solana into the social and financial ecosystem of X.

Life of a GenZ : - Pandemic at the age of enjoyment - Ai implementation at the age of employment - the worst bull run right when they discover crypto - Born just in time to buy the crypto top Life of a Millennial : - living through 2 economic recessions - 9/11 - a global pandemic - 8 stock market crashes - jobs replaced by AI and possibly WW3 before hitting 43

**Ray Dalio’s 2025 Market Take ** According to **Ray Dalio**, the biggest market story of 2025 was **not US stocks or AI**, but **the collapse in the real value of money** and a **global shift away from US assets**. **Core points:** • **Money lost value.** All fiat currencies weakened, while **gold surged ~65% in dollar terms**, making it the **best-performing major asset**. In gold terms, the S&P 500 actually **fell ~28%**, meaning US stocks only looked strong because the dollar weakened. • **Currency perspective matters.** US stocks returned ~18% in dollars but performed poorly when measured in strong currencies (euro, Swiss franc, gold). Apparent gains were largely **currency illusion**, not real wealth creation. • **US assets underperformed globally.** Non-US equities (Europe, China, UK, Japan, EMs) **significantly outperformed US stocks**. Capital flowed away from US markets toward foreign equities and gold. • **Bonds and cash were bad investments.** Because bonds promise future money, falling money value crushed real returns. In gold terms, US bonds and cash performed terribly. • **Valuations are stretched.** High P/E ratios, low credit spreads, and low equity risk premiums imply **low future returns**. Dalio estimates long-term US equity returns around **~4.7%**, historically very low. • **Fed policy inflated asset prices.** Rate cuts and easing lowered discount rates, boosting equities and gold—but now these assets are **no longer cheap**. • **Illiquid markets are in trouble.** Private equity, VC, and real estate lagged and face pressure as refinancing costs rise and liquidity premiums normalize. • **Politics mattered a lot.** Trump-era policies pushed **government-directed capitalism**, widened wealth gaps, scared foreign capital, and increased demand for gold. Inflation hurts the bottom 60% while asset owners benefit. • **Big Cycle dynamics continue.** Debt, money debasement, political polarization, geopolitics, climate stress, and AI-driven productivity are converging—classic late-cycle behavior. **Bottom line:** 2025 was a year where **assets rose mainly because money fell**, capital rotated **away from the US**, and future expected returns are now **much lower**. Understanding currency, cycles, and diversification matters more than chasing headline stock gains.

👍Expecting a growth in the crypto market in the near future. When whales accumulate BTC, and retail investors lock in profits – the market capitalization usually increases. Since December 17, whales and sharks have bought 56,227 BTC ($5.2b), and small traders have started locking in profits over the past 24 hours.

**🌍 48 countries start total data collection on crypto transactions.** From this year, crypto services in 48 countries [will start](https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/networks/global-forum-tax-transparency/commitments-carf.pdf)recording transactions of users for tax purposes. The exchange of this data between countries will start in 2027 within the framework of the CARF (OECD) standard. **What does this mean:** ▪️The reporting will include CEXs, some DEXs, crypto ATMs, and brokers. ▪️Data collection starts in advance, even before the official launch. ▪️The aim is to combat tax evasion and money laundering. ▪️Another 27 countries will join later, from 2028. ▪️Among the jurisdictions: most EU countries, the USA, the UAE, Kazakhstan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Turkey, Hong Kong, the UK, etc. According to estimates by TaxBit (a company that develops tax software for the crypto market), this data could eventually be used not only for tax reporting, but also for identifying the owners of crypto assets.

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🎰 In the beta version of **Telegram**, as expected, **elements of a casino began to appear** — not just lines of code, but already a **clickable interface with bets, deposits, and rewards in TON**. According to [information](https://t.me/tonlive/669) from the TON community, **the platform is testing a format where gambling mechanics become part of the usual UX** — literally in a couple of clicks, without leaving the app. 🟢 In 2024, we killed time on tap games 🟢 In 2025, we lost money on gifts 🟢 In 2026, we will lose the remaining deposit in the built-in casino.

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**The last 24 hours have been absolutely insane:** 1️⃣ **10:30 PM ET:** Chinese officials arrive in Venezuela to meet with President Maduro 2️⃣ **1:15 AM ET:** Unexpected airstrikes in Venezuela begin 3️⃣ **2:40 AM ET: **President Trump confirms he has ordered strikes 4️⃣ **4:20 AM ET:** President Trump says the US has CAPTURED President Maduro and his wife 5️⃣ **7:25 AM ET:** President Maduro and his wife are indicted in Southern District of New York President Maduro has now been charged and is on US oil. **This all started just 6 hours after markets closed for the week.** **Monday will be interesting to say the least.**

🇺🇸🇻🇪 What just happened is being wildly underestimated. Venezuela sits on the largest proven oil reserves on Earth, roughly 300 billion barrels. 🤭 According to statements from Donald Trump, the United States is now effectively overseeing Venezuela, with major U.S. oil companies moving in to operate on the ground. If that framing holds, control over the world’s largest oil reserve has shifted into U.S. hands. That’s not a policy tweak. That’s a structural change in global energy power.

🇻🇪 It seems that a new war has started: The US has launched an attack on Venezuela. At such moments, the markets traditionally react negatively, volatility increases, demand for defensive assets strengthens, and risky instruments are the first to come under pressure. Capital, as a rule, does not wait for political formulations and anticipates the worst-case scenarios in advance.

💰 2025 was a turning point for Bitcoin: **the usual four-year cycle no longer worked**. The classic model of "three years of growth - one year of fall" has lost its relevance, and the impact of halvings on price dynamics has significantly weakened. The market is entering a phase where the old patterns no longer provide reliable guidance.

Silver has overtaken Nvidia ($NVDA) to become the world’s 2nd most valuable asset, valued at $4.65 TRILLION.

💰 Hyperliquid has announced the unstaking of 1.2 million HYPE tokens for distribution on January 6 as part of its team vesting schedule, with further unlocks scheduled for the 6th of each month thereafter via a Discord update.